Good point. I got a 4 frame Nuc at the start of autumn and it wintered extremely well. If it helps to do a weather comparison I’m located in Perth, Western Australia. If your weather profiles are similar perhaps you will be lucky. Goodluck.
We have had such mild weather until last week, I still have drones in the hives - I’m glad otherwise my Pearl would not have had and drones to mate with 2 weeks ago